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Traders / @Shmully

@Shmully

Shmully
Building recordEarly buyerCalls hold up#149 on fomo (24h)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@Shmully tends to buy before the move. The record is still short.

Early buyerCalls hold upSells too soon
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 50% of buys, more often than 85% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 50% of buys, less often than 59% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 17% of the time; a day later, 83%. The typical trader: 46% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 88% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $3.2K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 54% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$5K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 15 hours. The typical trader holds 85 minutes.
  • Building record11 graded fills across 3 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,429 graded traders
Buys early50%
ahead of 85%
Late buys50%
less late than 59%
Up 1h later17%
ahead of 2%
Up 24h later83%
ahead of 99%

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Receipts

Receipts score
7.3
Early
50%
Late
50%
PnL, 30 days
-$3.2K
Price after they sell
+88.1%
Hit at 24h
83%
Record
Building · 11 fills across 3 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$144.5K
Coins traded
6
Fills
18
Followers
56
Last fill
38d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
80%
10%
10%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$QNTSell38d—+4.9%+8.4%
$?Sell39d——+82.9%
$?Buy39d——-94.4%
$?Buy39d——-94.4%
$XMR20Sell39d-30.0%-278.7%-84.5%
$XMR20Buy40d+7.8%+126.0%-29.3%
$?Sell42d—
Price after they sell+88.1%
ahead of 3%
PnL, 30 days-$3.2K
ahead of 54%

10% of 10 fills went their way within the hour.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$XMR201 buy+126.0%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
15:00 UTC
Typical buy
$261
Typical hold
15 hours
Active days, last 30
0
—
-161.3%
$?Buy49d-90.2%—-94.5%
$?Buy49d-89.8%—-94.3%
$?Buy49d-91.0%—-95.0%
$?Buy49d-90.7%—-94.8%
$?Buy49d-91.0%—-95.0%
$?Buy49d-89.0%—-93.8%
$?Buy49d-86.8%—-92.6%
$?Buy49d-88.8%—-93.7%