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Traders / @achelix

@achelix

achelix
Building recordSells too soon#141 on fomo (7d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@achelix times buys a little better than most, without a standout edge. The record is still short.

Sells too soon
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 33% of buys, more often than 57% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Often buys the topBought at the top on 67% of buys, more often than 74% of graded traders. Buys copied from them would often start in the red.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 38% of the time; a day later, 29%. The typical trader: 46% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 29% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $32.3K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 24% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.8K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 12 hours. The typical trader holds 85 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 2 of 6 coins. Best: $DESKTOP, +187% an hour after their buys. Worst: $RUNNER, -47.2%.
  • Building record27 graded fills across 12 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,377 graded traders
Buys early33%
ahead of 57%
Late buys67%
less late than 26%
Up 1h later38%
ahead of 22%
Up 24h later29%
ahead of 9%

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Receipts

Receipts score
34.3
Early
33%
Late
67%
PnL, 30 days
-$32.3K
Price after they sell
+28.7%
Hit at 24h
29%
Record
Building · 27 fills across 12 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$243.3K
Coins traded
17
Fills
42
Followers
447
Last fill
57d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
7%
15%
44%
22%
7%
4%

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$SPHRSell57d——-1.4%
$WIF2Sell57d—+44.5%—
$WIF2Buy58d—-84.2%—
$XSOLSell58d-1.0%+0.9%-24.8%
$LEVERCATSell58d+25.4%+63.8%-9.4%
$XSOLSell58d—-4.7%-14.9%
$XSOLSell58d
Price after they sell+28.7%
ahead of 9%
PnL, 30 days-$32.3K
ahead of 24%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

33% of 27 fills went their way within the hour; 1 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$DESKTOP1 buy+186.7%
$PURPS1 buy+5.0%
$LEVERCAT1 buy-12.4%
$GPT1 buy-27.8%
Worst
$RUNNER1 buy-47.2%
$S31 buy-33.7%
$GPT1 buy-27.8%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
13:00 UTC
Typical buy
$717
Typical hold
12 hours
Active days, last 30
0
—
-5.7%
-12.7%
$XSOLSell59d-0.7%-7.1%-3.2%
$GPTSell59d-178.4%-191.2%+66.9%
$RUNNERSell59d—-70.2%+8.5%
$XSOLSell59d-0.9%-12.2%-4.6%
$OPENAISell59d-0.1%-30.7%+4.2%
$NKESell59d-0.4%+0.1%+2.2%
$NKESell60d-0.1%+0.9%+1.9%
$PURPSSell60d-6.3%-2.3%+33.1%
$OPENAISell60d-3.1%-3.0%+5.3%
$XSOLSell60d+2.3%+8.4%+16.2%
$DESKTOPSell60d-19.1%——
$DESKTOPBuy60d+186.7%——
$S3Sell60d-180.0%-170.7%+77.1%