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Traders / @bjz1

@bjz1

Bill Zapf
Building recordSells too soon#2185 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@bjz1 has no clear timing edge either way yet. The record is still short.

Sells too soon
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 25% of buys, more often than 35% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 55% of buys, less often than 51% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 39% of the time; a day later, 34%. The typical trader: 46% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 8% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $47.8K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 19% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.8K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 8 hours. The typical trader holds 85 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 0 of 7 coins. Best: $ZCAT, -3.2% a day after their buys. Worst: $TILCAYO, -17.1%.
  • Building record99 graded fills across 10 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,377 graded traders
Buys early25%
ahead of 35%
Late buys55%
less late than 51%
Up 1h later39%
ahead of 23%
Up 24h later34%
ahead of 14%

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Receipts

Receipts score
33.2
Early
25%
Late
55%
PnL, 30 days
-$47.8K
Price after they sell
+8.5%
Hit at 24h
34%
Record
Building · 99 fills across 10 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$753.1K
Coins traded
11
Fills
100
Followers
79
Last fill
10h ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
1%
70%
27%
2%
<-50

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
1.1#2185 of 2,323 callers
Up 1h later
57%median +0.3%
Up 24h later
83%median +2.2%
Up 7d later
83%median +14.7%
Best call
$ZCAT at $32.6M+34.3% in 7d
Sold within an hour
0 of 1 call
Trader record
Building
Call record
7 calls on 1 coin

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$ZCAT10h ago
Called at $13.6M mcapNow $13.6M +0.3%1h -10.9%24h in 13h7d in 6d
If we get the bull run, which I’m 90% sure we will at some point, this will be the number one runner. Love buying it on the cheap here. 

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$ZCATBuy10h-17.1%in 14hin 7d
$ZCATBuy10h-16.8%in 14hin 7d
$ZCATBuy10h-14.3%in 14hin 7d
$ZCATBuy31d-1.7%+4.1%+2.9%
$ZCATBuy31d-1.5%+4.3%+3.1%
$ZCATBuy31d-5.1%+0.5%-0.6%
$ZCATBuy31d
Price after they sell+8.5%
ahead of 19%
PnL, 30 days-$47.8K
ahead of 19%
-50
-20
0
+20
+50
>100

29% of 99 fills went their way within the hour.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$ZCAT60 buys-3.2%
$RAYCAT9 buys-7.6%
$WIFOUT3 buys-13.1%
$KNOTS1 buy-13.8%
Worst
$TILCAYO5 buys-17.1%
$SNDK5 buys-16.4%
$STONK2 buys-16.2%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
19:00 UTC
Typical buy
$498
Typical hold
8 hours
Active days, last 30
1 · 3.0 fills a day
$ZCAT
20d ago
Called at $38.3M mcapNow $13.6M -64.4%1h +2.7%24h +9.9%7d +15.6%
Create time to accumulate an eventual $1 billion runner. 
$ZCAT30d ago
Called at $50.5M mcapNow $13.6M -73.0%1h -8.3%24h -12.0%7d +13.7%
Buy $zcat and log off. Open when $btc hits $100k.
$ZCAT31d ago
Called at $45.2M mcapNow $13.6M -69.9%1h +1.8%24h +2.3%7d +4.5%
It is this cat or no cat, this cycle. 
Latest 4 of 7 callsSee all 7 calls
-4.4%
+1.3%
+0.1%
$ZCATBuy31d-4.4%+1.3%+0.1%
$ZCATBuy31d-4.3%+1.3%+0.2%
$ZCATBuy31d-8.1%-15.7%-12.6%
$ZCATBuy31d-8.1%-15.7%-12.6%
$ZCATBuy31d-8.1%-12.9%-12.6%
$HYPESell31d-0.3%+3.7%+6.6%
$RAYSell31d+1.0%+11.9%+27.1%
$ZCATBuy31d-7.9%-12.7%-12.4%
$ZCATBuy31d-7.3%-12.1%-11.8%
$SNDKSell31d+8.2%+28.0%+60.5%
$ZCATBuy31d-7.3%-12.2%-11.9%
$ZCATBuy31d-7.3%-12.1%-11.8%
$ZCATBuy31d-7.3%-12.1%-11.8%