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Traders / @lenw

@lenw

Lenw
Building record
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@lenw has no clear timing edge either way yet. The record is still short.

  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 28% of buys, more often than 45% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 50% of buys, less often than 58% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 38% of the time; a day later, 41%. The typical trader: 46% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 9% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 53% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $35.5K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 23% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.8K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 75 minutes. The typical trader holds 86 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 3 of 8 coins. Best: $SNOOP, +247% an hour after their buys. Worst: $FACTORY, -29.6%.
  • Building record46 graded fills across 18 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,366 graded traders
Buys early28%
ahead of 45%
Late buys50%
less late than 58%
Up 1h later38%
ahead of 22%
Up 24h later41%
ahead of 29%
Price after they sell-8.7%
ahead of 53%
PnL, 30 days-$35.5K
ahead of 23%

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Receipts

Receipts score
34.9
Early
28%
Late
50%
PnL, 30 days
-$35.5K
Price after they sell
-8.7%
Hit at 24h
41%
Record
Building · 46 fills across 18 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$320.3K
Coins traded
31
Fills
98
Followers
68
Last fill
3d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
15%
11%
35%
22%
2%
9%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
0.5
Up 1h later
33%median -0.3%
Up 24h later
33%median -2.4%
Up 7d later
0%median -13.7%
Best call
$MICHI at $2.8M+0.8% in 24h
Trader record
Building
Call record
3 calls on 1 coin

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$MICHI3d ago
Called at $2.3M mcapNow $2M -11.5%1h -1.0%24h -13.3%7d in 3d
Selling btc to buy MICHI
$MICHI29d ago

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$MICHIBuy3d-1.8%-13.9%in 4d
$BTCSell3d-0.2%+5.5%in 4d
$MSFTSell3d-19.6%—in 4d
$MSFTBuy3d+21.4%—in 4d
$PUMPCATBuy20d—+30.4%-42.6%
$PUMPCATBuy22d——-55.2%
$JUPCATBuy28d
7%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

39% of 46 fills went their way within the hour; 7 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$SNOOP2 buys+247.4%
$BOT8 buys+55.3%
$MSFT1 buy+21.4%
$Army6 buys-3.1%
Worst
$FACTORY3 buys-29.6%
$JUPCAT1 buy-25.0%
$KNOTS1 buy-16.5%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
18:00 UTC
Typical buy
$99
Typical hold
75 minutes
Active days, last 30
6 · 5.2 fills a day
Called at $2.8M mcapNow $2M -28.3%1h -0.3%24h +0.8%7d -11.1%
Buying at these prices almost feels like stealing
$MICHI49d ago
Called at $4.3M mcapNow $2M -52.5%1h +3.5%24h -2.4%7d -16.2%
Told you it was on sale
-4.1%
-25.0%
-51.0%
$BULLSHITSell28d+0.6%-21.5%+5.2%
$SHIBSell28d——+9.3%
$JUPSell28d+0.7%+8.6%+24.0%
$SPCXXSell28d-0.1%+0.1%+12.9%
$KNOTSBuy28d+0.6%-16.5%-41.7%
$BOTSell28d+1.2%+6.6%—
$SNOOPSell28d—+78.5%—
$FACTORYSell28d——+80.2%
$SNOOPBuy29d—-87.6%—
$FACTORYBuy29d-15.4%—-87.6%
$FACTORYBuy29d-35.2%—-90.5%
$FACTORYBuy29d-38.2%—-90.9%
$MICHIBuy29d-1.0%+0.1%-11.8%