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Traders / @cosmic358

@cosmic358

358
Building recordEarly buyerCalls hold up#144 on fomo (24h)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@cosmic358 buys before the move and sells before it turns. The record is still short.

Early buyerCalls hold upSells before the drop
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 49% of buys, more often than 85% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 39% of buys, less often than 78% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 60% of the time; a day later, 60%. The typical trader: 46% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 40% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 94% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $350.4K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 4% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.8K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 8 hours. The typical trader holds 85 minutes.
  • Building record47 graded fills across 6 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,398 graded traders
Buys early49%
ahead of 85%
Late buys39%
less late than 78%
Up 1h later60%
ahead of 89%
Up 24h later60%
ahead of 89%

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Receipts

Receipts score
22.3
Early
49%
Late
39%
PnL, 30 days
-$350.4K
Price after they sell
-40.0%
Hit at 24h
60%
Record
Building · 47 fills across 6 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$1.1M
Coins traded
11
Fills
91
Followers
11639
Last fill
8d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
2%
40%
47%
11%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
0.3
Up 1h later
0%median -15.1%
Up 24h later
50%median -5.9%
Up 7d later
0%median -60.3%
Best call
$CRAWL at $2.8M+23.8% in 24h
Trader record
Building
Call record
3 calls on 2 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$CRAWL32d ago
Called at $3.3M mcap1h -6.3%24h +9.6%7d -40.2%
Crawl took the IMD route and tied agents to identity. As one of the top IMD holders this is promising to see. Agents now have their own identity, yield tied to tiers, staking + P2P trading while supply stays capped at 1,000. Makes the NFTs much more than just a collectible. I…

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$CRAWLSell8d+6.8%+3.9%+81.6%
$CRAWLSell20d+12.2%+16.2%+69.1%
$CRAWLSell20d+13.1%+17.0%+69.4%
$CRAWLBuy20d-15.5%-19.3%-70.3%
$CRAWLSell20d+15.0%+18.8%+70.1%
$CRAWLBuy20d-17.7%-21.4%-71.1%
$CRAWLBuy
Price after they sell-40.0%
ahead of 94%
PnL, 30 days-$350.4K
ahead of 4%
<-50
-50
-20
0
+20
+50
>100

57% of 47 fills went their way within the hour.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$CRAWL19 buys+45.0%
$BRRR3 buys-16.7%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
17:00 UTC
Typical buy
$360
Typical hold
8 hours
Active days, last 30
4 · 3.0 fills a day
$CRAWL
34d ago
Called at $2.8M mcap1h -24.0%24h +23.8%7d -32.7%
My 9 fig thesis on CRAWL is that the token can become the base asset of an expanding agent economy. There are only 100 main Crawlers but no real ceiling on what gets built beneath them. Every new sub-agent costs 25k CRAWL, every Crawler earns more with a larger held bag and…
$BRRR51d ago
Called at $3.2M mcap1h —24h -21.3%7d -80.4%
Stonk has already produced multi-million dollar reflection runners. BRRR is the first actual defi protocol on the chain already has 200k+ TVL and three live vaults (aBRRR, aBTC, aZCAT) market hasn't priced that in yet. This reprices much higher.
20d
-17.7%
-21.4%
-71.0%
$CRAWLSell20d+17.7%+21.4%+71.1%
$CRAWLSell20d-3.0%+18.4%+71.6%
$CRAWLSell20d+1.1%+24.2%+71.1%
$CRAWLSell21d-1.2%+2.1%+72.5%
$CRAWLBuy26d+28.4%+10.7%-10.8%
$CRAWLBuy32d+8.8%+21.2%-25.7%
$CRAWLBuy33d-15.9%-25.7%-28.7%
$CRAWLBuy33d+20.0%-39.0%-32.1%
$CRAWLBuy33d-16.0%-50.2%-41.5%
$CRAWLBuy34d+7.9%+76.9%-18.9%
$CRAWLBuy34d-1.4%+67.5%-23.3%
$CRAWLBuy34d+17.6%+99.7%-8.5%
$CRAWLBuy34d+23.6%+109.9%-3.8%