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Traders / @AdamHODL

@AdamHODL

AdamHODL
Established recordEarly buyer#137 on fomo (24h)#1769 caller (90d)
CompareCopy checkCopy on GMGN ↗

The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@AdamHODL tends to buy before the move.

Early buyerHolds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 46% of buys, more often than 81% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 39% of buys, less often than 78% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 43% of the time; a day later, 52%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 17% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 68% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $23.4K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 28% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.8K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 34 hours. The typical trader holds 89 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 4 of 8 coins they bought more than once. Best: $GUDI, +20.5% a day after their buys. Worst: $PVE, -36.5%.
  • Established record56 graded fills across 17 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,318 graded traders
Buys early46%
ahead of 81%
Late buys39%
less late than 78%
Up 1h later43%
ahead of 38%
Up 24h later52%
ahead of 70%

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Receipts

Receipts score
41.8
Early
46%
Late
39%
PnL, 30 days
-$23.4K
Price after they sell
-16.9%
Hit at 24h
52%
Record
Established · 56 fills across 17 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$254.5K
Coins traded
20
Fills
66
Followers
306
Last fill
2d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
4%
2%
50%
34%
4%
5%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
0.8#1769 of 1,780 callers
Up 1h later
60%median +1.1%
Up 24h later
0%median -9.4%
Up 7d later
20%median -9.0%
Best call
$STONK at $98.6M+2.2% in 7d
Sold within an hour
0 of 5 calls
Trader record
Established
Call record
5 calls on 1 coin

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$STONK23d ago
Called at $98.4M mcapNow $58.2M -40.8%1h -2.0%24h -9.4%7d -9.0%
STONK back to 9 figures. Run it. Probably the easiest liquid 2x from these levels

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$EXFILBuy6d+15.4%-9.2%in 33h
$GUDIBuy7d+54.7%+109.4%in 13h
$EXFILBuy8d-0.1%+22.6%—
$JEANPHILSell9d-1.1%+11.6%-38.7%
$EXILEBuy10d-15.4%-93.3%—
$GUDISell11d+2.6%+20.7%-147.9%
$GUDIBuy11d
Price after they sell-16.9%
ahead of 68%
PnL, 30 days-$23.4K
ahead of 28%
2%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

45% of 56 fills went their way within the hour; 4 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys, 2+ buys
$GUDI5 buys+20.5%
$EXFIL2 buys+6.7%
$HODL3 buys+5.5%
$JEANPHIL4 buys+3.2%
Worst
$PVE2 buys-36.5%
$SI3 buys-15.6%
$STONK5 buys-6.6%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
17:00 UTC
Typical buy
$498
Typical hold
34 hours
Active days, last 30
23 · 2.6 fills a day
$STONK
25d ago
Called at $100.6M mcapNow $58.3M -42.1%1h +2.0%24h -16.7%7d -2.5%
Currently the 26th biggest crypto project of all time in terms of revenue and its sub 100M, and it’s only a couple of months old. Closest comparison is $PONS, doing 3x less volume with minimal runners on it, valued 2x higher, 3x FDV. Projects around it in terms of revenue over 7…
$STONK25d ago
Called at $98.6M mcapNow $58.3M -40.9%1h +3.4%24h -9.4%7d +2.2%
$STONK is a real IQ test. x.com/adamhodl/status/… Currently the 26th biggest crypto project of all time in terms of revenue and its sub 100M, and it’s only a couple of months old. Closest comparison is $PONS, doing 3x less volume with minimal runners on it, valued 2x higher, 3x…
$STONK26d ago
Called at $94.2M mcapNow $58.3M -38.1%1h +1.1%24h -5.7%7d -14.2%
Not trying to catch a knife, but feel the majority of the pain across alts is there, or there abouts done. Sitting just above historic support. Invalidated around $85M, if dips that low will close the trade and target an entry around 77M support. Will TP on a 60% ish move around…
Latest 4 of 5 callsSee all 5 calls
-15.6%
-59.9%
-18.4%
$?Sell11d+56.6%+88.8%—
$?Buy11d+9.4%-95.4%—
$?Buy11d-31.3%-96.6%—
$GUDIBuy12d+3.4%-29.3%-73.6%
$EVYNSell12d-0.2%-3.6%—
$GUDIBuy12d+16.8%+23.5%-69.7%
$GUDIBuy12d+32.5%+58.9%-59.7%
$PVESell14d+15.7%-106.9%+45.2%
$PVEBuy16d-2.9%-37.5%-40.9%
$PVESell16d-11.5%+63.7%+52.6%
$PVEBuy17d+13.6%-35.6%-27.8%
$HODLBuy17d+2.0%-3.8%-0.9%
$EVYNBuy17d-3.3%+16.3%—