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Traders / @ArtofConviction

@ArtofConviction

Conviction
Established recordEarly buyerAvoids the top#92 on fomo (24h)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@ArtofConviction buys before the move and sells before it turns.

Early buyerAvoids the topCalls hold upSells before the drop
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 83% of buys, more often than 97% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 16% of buys, less often than 94% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 50% of the time; a day later, 62%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 21% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 76% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $413.2K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 3% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 5 hours. The typical trader holds 88 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 3 of 9 coins. Best: $WOW, +18.1% a day after their buys. Worst: $ZODL, -68.8%.
  • Established record97 graded fills across 16 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,310 graded traders
Buys early83%
ahead of 97%
Late buys16%
less late than 94%
Up 1h later50%
ahead of 62%
Up 24h later62%
ahead of 91%

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Receipts

Receipts score
46.5
Early
83%
Late
16%
PnL, 30 days
-$413.2K
Price after they sell
-21.0%
Hit at 24h
62%
Record
Established · 97 fills across 16 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$10.9M
Coins traded
18
Fills
99
Followers
22730
Last fill
4d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
1%
5%
38%
45%
4%
5%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
0.4
Up 1h later
0%median -8.3%
Up 24h later
33%median -14.4%
Up 7d later
33%median -35.0%
Best call
$ALLINU at $5.4M+6.3% in 7d
Trader record
Established
Call record
3 calls on 1 coin

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$ALLINU40d ago
Called at $5.4M mcapNow $2M -63.5%1h -4.7%24h +0.3%7d +6.3%
cmon guys
$ALLINU42d ago

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$UMBRABuy4d+3.3%+4.0%in 3d
$WOWSell5d-8.4%-33.7%in 45h
$WOWBuy6d+4.9%+18.1%in 14h
$LAUNCHSell13d-84.5%-1.1%+98.6%
$LAUNCHBuy13d+41.2%-17.5%-98.9%
$mintSell13d+6.0%+60.1%+97.3%
$mintBuy14d
Price after they sell-21.0%
ahead of 76%
PnL, 30 days-$413.2K
ahead of 3%
1%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

56% of 97 fills went their way within the hour; 6 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$WOW1 buy+18.1%
$ALLINU48 buys+8.6%
$UMBRA1 buy+4.0%
$UBER1 buy-14.5%
Worst
$ZODL1 buy-68.8%
$mint1 buy-50.5%
$CYBERLEEK4 buys-32.6%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
17:00 UTC
Typical buy
$4.9K
Typical hold
5 hours
Active days, last 30
7 · 1.3 fills a day
Called at $8.2M mcapNow $2M -75.9%1h -8.3%24h -14.4%7d -35.0%
Data analysis dump for those who care to understand what happened this week: Takeaway: the ALLINU crash was a supply problem at the top, not a loss of belief across the holder base. About 15 big wallets and a handful of snipers sold into a market that thousands of new buyers…
$ALLINU46d ago
Called at $12.6M mcapNow $2M -84.2%1h -18.1%24h -24.0%7d -54.7%
Solana trenchers are something else man
-22.5%
-50.5%
-98.1%
$ALLINUSell23d-16.0%-23.8%+29.7%
$ALLINUBuy25d-3.6%-8.4%-32.2%
$ALLINUSell40d-37.4%-38.5%-1.4%
$DKNGSell40d-1.0%+6.3%+6.9%
$ALLINUSell40d+0.7%-32.9%+2.7%
$ALLINUSell40d+5.9%-22.7%+7.7%
$ALLINUSell40d+2.1%-3.0%+10.1%
$ALLINUBuy40d-4.3%-4.9%-1.8%
$ALLINUSell40d+5.5%+6.1%+3.1%
$ALLINUSell40d+9.1%+5.8%+3.9%
$ALLINUBuy41d-8.9%-27.6%-27.1%
$ALLINUSell42d+12.8%+11.8%+25.8%
$ALLINUSell42d+7.8%+14.4%+25.1%