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Traders / @DumbCrayonEater

D

@DumbCrayonEater

DumbCrayonEater
Building recordEarly buyerAvoids the top#2 on fomo (all-time)#1023 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@DumbCrayonEater buys early and chases the top less often than most. The record is still short.

Early buyerAvoids the topHolds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 54% of buys, more often than 89% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 37% of buys, less often than 81% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 69% of the time; a day later, 53%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 2% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 39% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $1.8M on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 0% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 7 days. The typical trader holds 88 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 2 of 7 coins. Best: $HAMSTER, +2780% a day after their buys. Worst: $CATE, -35.9%.
  • Building record33 graded fills across 13 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,314 graded traders
Buys early54%
ahead of 89%
Late buys37%
less late than 81%
Up 1h later69%
ahead of 95%
Up 24h later53%
ahead of 73%

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Receipts

Receipts score
39.2
Early
54%
Late
37%
PnL, 30 days
-$1.8M
Price after they sell
-1.8%
Hit at 24h
53%
Record
Building · 33 fills across 13 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$2M
Coins traded
129
Fills
512
Followers
695411
Last fill
9d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
12%
18%
52%
15%
3%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
3.3#1023 of 1,748 callers
Up 1h later
50%median +19.0%
Up 24h later
63%median +2.4%
Up 7d later
50%median +173.9%
Best call
$HAMSTER at $47.3K+3898.6% in 7d
Trader record
Building
Call record
5 calls on 4 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$LOAD25d ago
Called at $10.3M mcap1h -15.3%24h -39.6%7d -55.8%
Did some quck DD and I kinda like the potential/timing of this because of all these new AI breakthroughs in gaming that im seeing on my TL. If they can get aligned with game devs (like Tweetcraft, for example) and find a way to make it +EV for people buying their game coin…

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$BORDRSell9d+6.6%-4.8%+95.5%
$LOADSell9d-5.8%+25.6%+29.4%
$HAMSTERSell16d+30.5%+23.2%-44.0%
$MAZKSell20d+13.9%+53.3%+44.9%
$BORDRSell22d+13.7%+23.0%+66.3%
$CLAWHUNTERBuy26d+29.2%+0.6%-8.2%
$LOADBuy
Price after they sell-1.8%
ahead of 39%
PnL, 30 days-$1.8M
ahead of 0%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

70% of 33 fills went their way within the hour; 1 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$HAMSTER1 buy+2779.8%
$LOAD4 buys+25.7%
$CLAWHUNTER2 buys-4.6%
$HIGGS2 buys-6.8%
Worst
$CATE3 buys-35.9%
$biketyson3 buys-20.7%
$BORDR1 buy-8.6%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
19:00 UTC
Typical buy
$2.5K
Typical hold
7 days
Active days, last 30
7 · 2.3 fills a day
$LOAD
26d ago
Called at $8.6M mcap1h -32.6%24h +0.2%7d -53.4%
I bought it before doing my full dd, but with what I'm seeing on the TL with this AI-assisted game creation (like Hood Warfare), I think this concept is interesting. Not a fan of the LP though
$CLAWHUNTER27d ago
Called at $793.2K mcap1h +53.2%24h +4.6%7d -28.7%
Still trying to find the right play for the ai influencer uprising... Their recast feature seems on par with some top tier ones
$BORDR31d ago
Called at $1.4M mcap1h -27.3%24h -8.6%7d +376.4%
**I consider this play very risky**, I haven't properly DD it yet and will do so ASAP. Seems interesting but could be a scam.
Latest 4 of 5 callsSee all 5 calls
26d
+31.5%
+33.5%
-25.8%
$LOADBuy26d-13.6%+54.1%-28.5%
$LOADBuy26d-38.2%+0.3%-53.4%
$LOADBuy26d-32.9%+15.0%-46.2%
$biketysonSell26d+6.3%+16.9%+14.7%
$HIGGSSell26d-0.4%+15.7%+72.2%
$CLAWHUNTERBuy27d+32.1%-9.8%-38.5%
$BORDRBuy31d-23.9%-8.6%+420.9%
$HIGGSBuy33d+41.6%+56.0%-62.7%
$HIGGSBuy34d-26.5%-69.6%-72.6%
$HAMSTERSell34d+12.7%+17.2%+33.0%
$HAMSTERBuy36d+2425.6%+2779.8%+3510.8%
$CRIMESell39d+11.3%+38.5%+55.6%
$ANSEMSell43d+2.4%+7.8%+30.3%