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Traders / @OtherWeirdTrout

O

@OtherWeirdTrout

petergriffain
Building recordSells too soon#146 on fomo (24h)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@OtherWeirdTrout has no clear timing edge either way yet. The record is still short.

Sells too soon
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 25% of buys, more often than 35% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Often buys the topBought at the top on 65% of buys, more often than 70% of graded traders. Buys copied from them would often start in the red.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 52% of the time; a day later, 55%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 6% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $6.1K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 47% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 16 hours. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 1 of 6 coins. Best: $HOTBOT, +15.4% a day after their buys. Worst: $SEEDLING, -33.2%.
  • Building record84 graded fills across 8 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,334 graded traders
Buys early25%
ahead of 35%
Late buys65%
less late than 30%
Up 1h later52%
ahead of 72%
Up 24h later55%
ahead of 78%

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Receipts

Receipts score
33.2
Early
25%
Late
65%
PnL, 30 days
-$6.1K
Price after they sell
+5.5%
Hit at 24h
55%
Record
Building · 84 fills across 8 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$348.5K
Coins traded
14
Fills
100
Followers
48
Last fill
4d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
5%
46%
45%
4%

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$SAPLINGBuy4d+1.5%+8.6%in 4d
$?Sell4d—+13.6%in 4d
$SEEDLINGSell4d—+30.4%in 3d
$SEEDLINGBuy11d-10.0%-52.8%-68.3%
$SAPLINGBuy11d+25.0%-11.2%-18.5%
$SAPLINGBuy11d+9.6%-4.6%+0.9%
$SAPLINGBuy11d
Price after they sell+5.5%
ahead of 22%
PnL, 30 days-$6.1K
ahead of 47%
<-50
-50
-20
0
+20
+50
>100

49% of 84 fills went their way within the hour.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$HOTBOT3 buys+15.4%
$CLAW1 buy-0.5%
$MINI2 buys-8.0%
$BORDR9 buys-17.3%
Worst
$SEEDLING2 buys-33.2%
$SAPLING12 buys-17.8%
$BORDR9 buys-17.3%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
22:00 UTC
Typical buy
$199
Typical hold
16 hours
Active days, last 30
15 · 6.7 fills a day
-14.8%
-7.7%
-10.6%
$SAPLINGBuy11d-15.0%-7.9%-7.6%
$SAPLINGBuy11d-14.0%-6.8%-6.5%
$HOTBOTSell13d-1.7%+27.4%+57.8%
$HOTBOTSell14d-7.3%+6.6%+62.5%
$HOTBOTSell14d-4.1%-5.9%+58.6%
$HOTBOTSell14d-3.8%-5.6%+58.8%
$HOTBOTSell15d+8.4%-6.5%+63.0%
$HOTBOTSell15d-3.2%-5.6%+60.4%
$HOTBOTSell15d+1.7%-1.2%+61.2%
$HOTBOTSell15d+2.4%-0.6%+61.5%
$HOTBOTSell15d+0.7%+11.0%+65.9%
$SAPLINGSell15d-2.8%+21.6%-192.7%
$SAPLINGSell16d-0.4%+18.7%-186.4%