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Traders / @ThePumponomics

@ThePumponomics

Pumponomics
Established recordSells too soon#45 on fomo (24h)#943 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@ThePumponomics has no clear timing edge either way yet.

Sells too soonHolds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 30% of buys, more often than 49% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 38% of buys, less often than 80% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 41% of the time; a day later, 27%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 9% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $979.5K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 1% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 17 days. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 2 of 7 coins they bought more than once. Best: $baton, +41.6% a day after their buys. Worst: $KNOTS, -31.9%.
  • Established record89 graded fills across 17 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,307 graded traders
Buys early30%
ahead of 49%
Late buys38%
less late than 80%
Up 1h later41%
ahead of 29%
Up 24h later27%
ahead of 8%

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Receipts

Receipts score
29.7
Early
30%
Late
38%
PnL, 30 days
-$979.5K
Price after they sell
+9.2%
Hit at 24h
27%
Record
Established · 89 fills across 17 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$7.2M
Coins traded
26
Fills
99
Followers
85905
Last fill
8d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
6%
60%
25%
1%
7%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
3.4#943 of 1,689 callers
Up 1h later
50%median +1.0%
Up 24h later
44%median -2.4%
Up 7d later
0%median -43.6%
Best call
$KNOTS at $7M+23.1% in 24h
Trader record
Established
Call record
7 calls on 3 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$PUMP8h ago
Called at $1.3B mcapNow $1.3B +1.8%1h —24h in 15h7d in 6d
some ugly ugly pa here but coming into some areas where a bounce is plausible. looks weak af though. something like -25% possible if things get bad and btc dumps

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$batonBuy8d+0.3%-3.9%+36.9%
$bracatSell8d-13.9%-35.3%-114.0%
$RAYCATSell8d-9.2%-5.2%+15.6%
$INUSell8d+4.8%-4.1%+15.8%
$HYPESell8d-2.1%+4.8%+14.1%
$RAYSell8d-1.1%-3.8%-12.5%
$TREESell
Price after they sell+9.2%
ahead of 19%
PnL, 30 days-$979.5K
ahead of 1%
2%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

35% of 89 fills went their way within the hour; 8 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys, 2+ buys
$baton8 buys+41.6%
$STONK20 buys+10.5%
$LIT11 buys-8.1%
$GRASS3 buys-9.8%
Worst
$KNOTS6 buys-31.9%
$PURR9 buys-25.0%
$ZCAT2 buys-20.7%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
19:00 UTC
Typical buy
$5K
Typical hold
17 days
Active days, last 30
7 · 5.6 fills a day
$baton
1d ago
Called at $6.4M mcapNow $5.2M -19.1%1h -9.2%24h -18.4%7d in 5d
Pumpfun since my buy -2% but baton +50%. Interesting dislocation there, wonder if it’s a tell
$PUMP1d ago
Called at $1.4B mcapNow $1.3B -8.5%1h —24h —7d in 5d
PumpFun decided to pay out holders more of the callout rewards, really good sign they’re listening to users who were asking for it. building up communities is gonna be important for their launchpad fees and ecosystem growth. I like the move
$PUMP4d ago
Called at $1.5B mcapNow $1.3B -14.0%1h —24h —7d in 2d
40% pullback complete, 3d rsi reset the 50 and bouncing, price hit weekly kijun multiple times and bounced. not sure why anyone is waiting for further downside rn
Latest 4 of 7 callsSee all 7 calls
12d
—
—
+24.2%
$CATGPTSell12d——-40.2%
$FLWSSell12d-0.2%-3.4%+2.6%
$KNOTSSell20d-27.5%-62.9%-127.9%
$KNOTSSell20d-8.6%-38.9%-94.3%
$KNOTSSell20d+15.7%-22.5%-73.2%
$PURRSell20d-47.9%-61.0%-31.2%
$PURRSell20d-38.5%-50.7%-22.8%
$PURRSell20d-32.3%-44.0%-17.4%
$PURRSell20d-20.4%-31.0%-6.8%
$STONKSell20d+0.7%-19.3%-46.0%
$batonSell20d+0.6%-26.0%-1.7%
$batonSell20d+4.0%-21.7%+1.8%
$batonSell20d+7.7%-17.0%+5.6%