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Traders / @XbtPika

@XbtPika

Pika XBT
Established recordSells before the drop#58 on fomo (24h)#510 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@XbtPika is at their best on the way out, selling before the drop.

Sells before the drop
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 20% of buys, more often than 24% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Often buys the topBought at the top on 63% of buys, more often than 68% of graded traders. Buys copied from them would often start in the red.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 49% of the time; a day later, 44%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 38% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 93% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $141.7K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 10% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 4 hours. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 0 of 11 coins. Best: $OMNI, -8.0% a day after their buys. Worst: $NEARPAD, -98.6%.
  • Established record74 graded fills across 17 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,307 graded traders
Buys early20%
ahead of 24%
Late buys63%
less late than 32%
Up 1h later49%
ahead of 59%
Up 24h later44%
ahead of 38%

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Receipts

Receipts score
32.2
Early
20%
Late
63%
PnL, 30 days
-$141.7K
Price after they sell
-37.5%
Hit at 24h
44%
Record
Established · 74 fills across 17 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$3.7M
Coins traded
21
Fills
99
Followers
41930
Last fill
5d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
9%
15%
23%
27%
9%
12%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
6.0#510 of 1,689 callers
Up 1h later
58%median +4.0%
Up 24h later
25%median -15.5%
Up 7d later
0%median -54.7%
Best call
$OMNI at $394.9K+28.1% in 24h
Trader record
Established
Call record
10 calls on 5 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$OMNI36d ago
Called at $394.9K mcap1h +82.1%24h +28.1%7d -22.6%
I don’t like to compare to other coins but some tech quants are saying this is better than xyz.
$MARTIANS

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$JOBBuy5d-0.9%-36.5%in 38h
$PUMPSell8d+0.4%-1.3%+6.2%
$?Buy8d-80.3%——
$?Buy8d-78.1%——
$SISell9d+64.3%+90.1%—
$SIBuy9d+3.3%-88.8%—
$?Sell11d-7.4%
Price after they sell-37.5%
ahead of 93%
PnL, 30 days-$141.7K
ahead of 10%
4%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

53% of 74 fills went their way within the hour; 12 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$OMNI5 buys-8.0%
$parafactual12 buys-12.1%
$1EDGE3 buys-18.7%
$JOB1 buy-36.5%
Worst
$NEARPAD8 buys-98.6%
$BRIDGE3 buys-89.1%
$SI1 buy-88.8%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
00:00 UTC
Typical buy
$1.4K
Typical hold
4 hours
Active days, last 30
9 · 2.1 fills a day
41d ago
Called at $1.5M mcap1h -8.1%24h -78.5%7d -95.4%
Hearing things.
$MARTIANS41d ago
Called at $1M mcap1h +60.8%24h -63.0%7d -93.3%
Don’t think you realize the ceiling on this.
$MARTIANS41d ago
Called at $813.2K mcap1h -4.8%24h -44.5%7d -91.0%
Chit hit a 400x on the Marscoin of BNB and was one of the earliest to call it. He may very well be right about the Marscoin of Solana. Elon donated $100K to the Mars Society and even joined it If this coin is funding the Mars Society through X Money, which Elon himself has…
Latest 4 of 11 callsSee all 11 calls
+62.6%
—
$?Buy11d-68.0%-83.6%—
$?Buy11d-24.5%-78.4%—
$DKNGSell15d+2.5%-1.1%0.0%
$1EDGESell23d+14.9%-7.7%+57.9%
$1EDGESell23d+16.7%-4.4%+58.2%
$1EDGEBuy23d-4.7%-28.5%-70.9%
$1EDGEBuy24d-9.9%-17.2%-45.9%
$1EDGEBuy24d-2.5%-10.4%-41.5%
$HALLOWINSell24d-2.0%+12.7%+51.2%
$MonkeSell26d-21.2%+64.6%+54.2%
$MonkeBuy26d-24.5%-77.4%-69.3%
$BRIDGESell34d+32.2%+71.6%—
$PIZZABuy34d-82.9%——