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Traders / @drugo

@drugo

drugo
Building recordEarly buyerSells too soon#147 on fomo (7d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@drugo tends to buy before the move. The record is still short.

Early buyerSells too soonHolds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 47% of buys, more often than 82% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 49% of buys, less often than 62% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 42% of the time; a day later, 54%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 55% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $219.8K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 7% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 4 days. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 2 of 5 coins. Best: $YAP, +206% a day after their buys. Worst: $ACAT, -49.2%.
  • Building record80 graded fills across 11 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,307 graded traders
Buys early47%
ahead of 82%
Late buys49%
less late than 62%
Up 1h later42%
ahead of 34%
Up 24h later54%
ahead of 75%

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Receipts

Receipts score
35.3
Early
47%
Late
49%
PnL, 30 days
-$219.8K
Price after they sell
+54.6%
Hit at 24h
54%
Record
Building · 80 fills across 11 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$10.6M
Coins traded
14
Fills
92
Followers
14490
Last fill
4d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
1%
51%
23%
14%
9%
1%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
0.2
Up 1h later
100%median +18.4%
Up 24h later
0%median -17.6%
Up 7d later
100%median +10.3%
Best call
$MONEROCHAN at $889.4K+10.3% in 7d
Trader record
Building
Call record
1 call on 1 coin

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$MONEROCHAN16d ago
Called at $889.4K mcap1h +18.4%24h -17.6%7d +10.3%
there are 50 million altcoins and only 1 privacy coin

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$XMR20Buy4d-2.0%—in 3d
$XMR20Buy4d-4.6%—in 3d
$MONEROCHANBuy5d+2.1%-11.9%in 3d
$MONEROCHANBuy5d+5.3%-9.1%in 3d
$XMRSell12d-0.8%-1.8%-3.0%
$XMR20Buy14d+20.4%-15.1%+103.6%
$XMR20Buy14d
Price after they sell+54.6%
ahead of 5%
PnL, 30 days-$219.8K
ahead of 7%
1%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

25% of 80 fills went their way within the hour; 2 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$YAP27 buys+205.8%
$AQUA2 buys+24.7%
$XMR204 buys-18.2%
$MONEROCHAN23 buys-26.3%
Worst
$ACAT2 buys-49.2%
$MONEROCHAN23 buys-26.3%
$XMR204 buys-18.2%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
19:00 UTC
Typical buy
$498
Typical hold
4 days
Active days, last 30
5 · 5.8 fills a day
+11.6%
-21.3%
+88.7%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-6.9%-42.2%-24.4%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-18.4%-47.8%-27.0%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-18.2%-47.6%-26.7%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-15.1%-45.6%-24.0%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-7.5%-40.8%-17.2%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-4.0%-38.5%-14.1%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-0.8%-36.4%-11.2%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d+3.0%-34.1%-7.8%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d+9.7%-29.7%-1.8%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d+3.7%-33.6%-7.2%
$XMRSell16d+0.3%+2.1%-2.6%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-32.5%-30.2%-14.0%
$MONEROCHANBuy16d-27.7%-25.3%-8.0%