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Traders / @manfrommars

@manfrommars

manfrommars
Building recordSells too soon#675 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@manfrommars times buys a little better than most, without a standout edge. The record is still short.

Sells too soon
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 33% of buys, more often than 56% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 58% of buys, less often than 43% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 45% of the time; a day later, 46%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 8% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Makes moneyMade $913 on fomo in the last 30 days, more than 74% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 19 hours. The typical trader holds 89 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 3 of 6 coins. Best: $GHOSTCAT, +37.1% a day after their buys. Worst: $BTC, -30.5%.
  • Building record96 graded fills across 13 coins. Still short, so these rates can move a lot with each new trade.

Where they rank

among 2,326 graded traders
Buys early33%
ahead of 56%
Late buys58%
less late than 43%
Up 1h later45%
ahead of 42%
Up 24h later46%
ahead of 46%

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Receipts

Receipts score
47.9
Early
33%
Late
58%
PnL, 30 days
+$913
Price after they sell
+7.8%
Hit at 24h
46%
Record
Building · 96 fills across 13 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$232.3K
Coins traded
15
Fills
100
Followers
263
Last fill
21h ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
1%
66%
24%
3%
6%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
4.9#675 of 1,862 callers
Up 1h later
38%median -4.1%
Up 24h later
33%median -12.6%
Up 7d later
0%median -46.0%
Best call
$ZCAT at $60.1M+21.7% in 24h
Trader record
Building
Call record
10 calls on 2 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$KNOTS11d ago
Called at $5.5M mcapNow $2.1M -61.9%1h +8.5%24h +2.8%7d -46.0%
When STONK does well KNOTS does even better, beta play on the fly wheel of the cycle

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$SNDKBuy21h0.0%in 3hin 7d
$SNDKBuy1d-2.3%-31.1%in 6d
$ZCATBuy1d-3.3%-14.4%in 6d
$SNDKBuy2d+18.1%+10.3%in 5d
$ZCATBuy2d-2.9%-5.0%in 5d
$ZCATBuy4d-5.0%+10.9%in 4d
$SNDKBuy4d
Price after they sell+7.8%
ahead of 20%
PnL, 30 days+$913
ahead of 74%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

33% of 96 fills went their way within the hour; 9 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$GHOSTCAT14 buys+37.1%
$NEARKAT3 buys+8.0%
$ZCAT11 buys+1.4%
$SNDK23 buys-1.8%
Worst
$BTC1 buy-30.5%
$KNOTS21 buys-16.8%
$SNDK23 buys-1.8%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
14:00 UTC
Typical buy
$74
Typical hold
19 hours
Active days, last 30
20 · 2.8 fills a day
$ZCAT
32d ago
Called at $71.4M mcapNow $11.1M -84.4%1h -9.0%24h -27.6%7d -29.5%
Yup SI flip was obvious in hindsight as a bottom for ZCAT was sickening but patience prevailed, march to 200-300million next imo Chop along the way but it’s clear now where things going. Billions for the bag
$KNOTS39d ago
Called at $8.1M mcapNow $2.1M -73.8%1h -4.1%24h -11.0%7d -44.5%
Expectations for this coin remain very high Only makes sense for the ecosystem winner to be second to the gold standard ZCAT in terms of market cap
$ZCAT42d ago
Called at $74.2M mcapNow $11.1M -85.0%1h +6.9%24h -12.6%7d -50.7%
Looks to be paying off ZCAT recovery should come first then secondary S tier assets such as KNOTS should come next
Latest 4 of 10 callsSee all 10 calls
-2.4%
-11.2%
in 4d
$SNDKBuy4d-2.1%+16.9%in 3d
$ZCATBuy5d+3.0%+6.0%in 3d
$SNDKBuy5d-10.8%-23.8%in 41h
$SNDKBuy6d-4.7%-29.1%in 27h
$GHOSTCATBuy6d+114.1%-24.4%in 27h
$GHOSTCATBuy7d+191.5%+32.5%in 2h
$GHOSTCATBuy7d+193.0%+33.2%in 2h
$GHOSTCATBuy7d+128.3%-1.5%—
$AAVESell7d-0.5%-1.0%+3.2%
$SNDKBuy7d-9.3%+2.2%-63.2%
$GHOSTCATBuy7d+120.5%+117.8%-58.4%
$SNDKBuy8d-4.1%-20.0%-67.6%
$GHOSTCATBuy8d+130.8%+102.2%-61.6%