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Traders / @painkillerbill

@painkillerbill

Pain
Established recordSells too soon#100 on fomo (all-time)#622 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@painkillerbill has no clear timing edge either way yet.

Sells too soonHolds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 29% of buys, more often than 46% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 57% of buys, less often than 47% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 38% of the time; a day later, 53%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 18% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $80.4K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 15% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 2 days. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 6 of 9 coins they bought more than once. Best: $CTO, +302% a day after their buys. Worst: $catalyst, -83.8%.
  • Established record85 graded fills across 20 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,307 graded traders
Buys early29%
ahead of 46%
Late buys57%
less late than 47%
Up 1h later38%
ahead of 21%
Up 24h later53%
ahead of 73%

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Receipts

Receipts score
33.7
Early
29%
Late
57%
PnL, 30 days
-$80.4K
Price after they sell
+18.3%
Hit at 24h
53%
Record
Established · 85 fills across 20 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$4.4M
Coins traded
20
Fills
85
Followers
3426
Last fill
2d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
5%
8%
49%
31%
5%
1%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
4.5#622 of 1,689 callers
Up 1h later
88%median +0.7%
Up 24h later
13%median -7.6%
Up 7d later
13%median -21.0%
Best call
$SI at $12.1M+12.4% in 7d
Trader record
Established
Call record
7 calls on 4 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$STONK8d ago
Called at $106.1M mcapNow $53.8M -49.3%1h +0.8%24h -7.6%7d -24.7%
undervalued by like 3x

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$NIOSell2d-21.8%-44.0%in 6d
$NIOBuy2d-3.7%+59.1%in 5d
$NIOBuy2d+21.1%+10.8%in 5d
$AMDSell4d-1.1%+72.2%in 4d
$AMDBuy4d-42.8%-83.7%in 3d
$STONKSell6d+0.3%+7.3%in 16h
$STONKSell6d
Price after they sell+18.3%
ahead of 13%
PnL, 30 days-$80.4K
ahead of 15%
1%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

38% of 85 fills went their way within the hour; 2 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys, 2+ buys
$CTO4 buys+302.4%
$KNOTS2 buys+47.4%
$NIO2 buys+35.0%
$ZCAT3 buys+9.0%
Worst
$catalyst2 buys-83.8%
$PUMP2 buys-7.0%
$USELESS13 buys-5.7%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
00:00 UTC
Typical buy
$11.3K
Typical hold
2 days
Active days, last 30
16 · 1.6 fills a day
$SI
18d ago
Called at $12.1M mcapNow $6.9M -43.3%1h +0.7%24h -3.3%7d +12.4%
N
$SI19d ago
Called at $15.6M mcapNow $6.9M -55.9%1h +9.5%24h -21.7%7d -35.5%
looks bottomed idk
$neet20d ago
Called at $35.7M mcapNow $26.3M -26.4%1h +0.3%24h -6.5%7d -15.2%
the train is…
Latest 4 of 7 callsSee all 7 calls
+0.6%
+7.6%
in 16h
$STONKSell6d+1.1%+8.0%in 16h
$STONKBuy8d-0.3%-8.8%-25.7%
$STONKBuy8d+0.2%-8.4%-25.3%
$STONKSell9d+2.5%+6.8%+20.4%
$STONKBuy10d-0.8%-3.2%-14.6%
$cartiBuy13d-97.7%——
$KimchiSell14d+10.6%-6.9%+41.7%
$STONKSell17d+1.5%+9.3%-16.5%
$STONKSell17d+2.4%+10.1%-15.4%
$KimchiBuy18d-2.8%-33.5%-79.6%
$SISell18d-7.8%-0.2%-8.6%
$SIBuy19d+7.5%-23.1%-36.7%
$STONKBuy20d+3.0%+16.4%+35.6%