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Traders / @schwansverpuzer

@schwansverpuzer

grail
Established recordSells too soon
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@schwansverpuzer times buys a little better than most, without a standout edge.

Sells too soonHolds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 40% of buys, more often than 74% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 48% of buys, less often than 64% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 44% of the time; a day later, 46%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 121% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $33.4K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 24% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 3 days. The typical trader holds 85 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 10 of 27 coins. Best: $CTO, +566% a day after their buys. Worst: $darwin, -96.7%.
  • Established record66 graded fills across 36 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,344 graded traders
Buys early40%
ahead of 74%
Late buys48%
less late than 64%
Up 1h later44%
ahead of 40%
Up 24h later46%
ahead of 44%

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Receipts

Receipts score
36.0
Early
40%
Late
48%
PnL, 30 days
-$33.4K
Price after they sell
+120.9%
Hit at 24h
46%
Record
Established · 66 fills across 36 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$791.8K
Coins traded
116
Fills
308
Followers
1969
Last fill
11d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
12%
12%
27%
32%
11%
2%

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$TSBuy11d+21.5%+48.9%—
$BUBBLEBuy11d-5.3%-12.9%—
$HNETBuy12d—-16.5%—
$MAZKBuy17d-10.0%-18.5%-81.1%
$MAZKBuy18d-1.3%+138.7%-26.0%
$PUNCHBuy20d-0.8%-23.9%-45.6%
$GABOXBuy21d
Price after they sell+120.9%
ahead of 2%
PnL, 30 days-$33.4K
ahead of 24%
5%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

48% of 66 fills went their way within the hour; 4 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$CTO1 buy+565.9%
$WHOP1 buy+272.8%
$GROK1 buy+175.3%
$REPOING1 buy+74.6%
Worst
$darwin1 buy-96.7%
$MAXI1 buy-95.8%
$GRAIL1 buy-92.3%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
21:00 UTC
Typical buy
$498
Typical hold
3 days
Active days, last 30
11 · 1.6 fills a day
—
—
+118.5%
$GRAILBuy23d-11.3%-92.3%—
$INFERRABuy24d-3.6%——
$ROSEBuy27d-27.8%+30.0%-59.4%
$PLAYBuy29d—-35.1%-42.6%
$WHOPSell29d—+81.3%—
$PLAYBuy29d—-79.2%-81.7%
$WHOPBuy29d+1101.3%+272.8%—
$CLUDEBuy30d—+4.3%—
$AURABuy30d-67.2%-90.2%-98.1%
$DOMAINSell31d—-50.5%—
$MUTANTSell31d——+90.4%
$NECTARSell31d—-8.4%+5.1%
$UMBRASell31d+1.4%+1.7%-36.9%