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Traders / @threadguy_concubine

@threadguy_concubine

afk
Established recordEarly buyerAvoids the top#22 on fomo (all-time)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@threadguy_concubine buys early and chases the top less often than most.

Early buyerAvoids the topSells too soon
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 67% of buys, more often than 95% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 33% of buys, less often than 84% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 52% of the time; a day later, 34%. The typical trader: 46% and 47%.
  • Leaves gains behindAfter they sell, the price keeps rising 172% on average: they often sell before the run is over.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $418.7K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 3% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$5K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 24 hours. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 7 of 12 coins. Best: $LinkedInu, +511% a day after their buys. Worst: $BLEND, -90.0%.
  • Established record55 graded fills across 20 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,295 graded traders
Buys early67%
ahead of 95%
Late buys33%
less late than 84%
Up 1h later52%
ahead of 71%
Up 24h later34%
ahead of 15%

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Receipts

Receipts score
38.0
Early
67%
Late
33%
PnL, 30 days
-$418.7K
Price after they sell
+171.7%
Hit at 24h
34%
Record
Established · 55 fills across 20 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$2.7M
Coins traded
32
Fills
80
Followers
30387
Last fill
17d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
15%
7%
20%
29%
13%
13%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
0.2
Up 1h later
100%median +109.4%
Up 24h later
0%median -9.8%
Up 7d later
0%median -3.8%
Best call
—
Trader record
Established
Call record
1 call on 1 coin

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$POOL36d ago
Called at $555.6K mcap1h +109.4%24h -9.8%7d -3.8%
Stonkfun but for NFTs And the team runs a hedge fund and some of the biggest trading groups on chain.

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$?Sell17d+7.5%+6.5%—
$GROKSell27d+6.4%+34.0%+65.0%
$?Sell27d+3.5%+21.5%+6.8%
$GROKBuy29d+16.8%-20.0%-54.2%
$SIGFSell30d+27.2%+25.4%+95.7%
$?Buy31d-8.9%-85.9%—
$?Buy31d
Price after they sell+171.7%
ahead of 1%
PnL, 30 days-$418.7K
ahead of 3%
4%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

58% of 55 fills went their way within the hour; 9 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys
$LinkedInu1 buy+510.8%
$ALLINU1 buy+183.7%
$Minecraft1 buy+145.9%
$SIGF4 buys+138.0%
Worst
$BLEND4 buys-90.0%
$OCTO1 buy-52.7%
$GROK1 buy-20.0%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
00:00 UTC
Typical buy
$2K
Typical hold
24 hours
Active days, last 30
3 · 2.0 fills a day
+13.9%
-82.4%
—
$SIGFBuy32d+82.3%+66.9%-92.0%
$OCTOSell33d-7.4%+8.1%+96.0%
$SIGFBuy35d+23.7%+80.4%-74.6%
$LATTICEBuy35d—-70.0%-84.8%
$RAYSell35d+0.3%-1.3%-11.2%
$SIGFBuy36d+54.9%+81.7%-40.7%
$OCTOBuy36d+5.1%-52.7%-93.6%
$?Buy36d+69.0%-27.2%-22.4%
$MSFTXSell36d0.0%+0.1%-3.4%
$MinecraftSell36d+5.8%-45.3%+31.8%
$SIGFSell36d-492.0%-209.1%-35.3%
$SIGFBuy37d+22.8%+323.1%+16.9%
$MSFTXSell37d-0.7%+0.1%-2.5%