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Traders / @ultrapara

@ultrapara

ultrapara
Established record#67 on fomo (24h)#512 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@ultrapara has no clear timing edge either way yet.

Holds for days
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 30% of buys, more often than 50% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top as often as mostBought at the top on 56% of buys, less often than 48% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 37% of the time; a day later, 44%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 17% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 69% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $450.4K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 3% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$4.9K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 25 hours. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 4 of 9 coins they bought more than once. Best: $BORDR, +39.0% a day after their buys. Worst: $OMNI, -83.1%.
  • Established record97 graded fills across 19 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,307 graded traders
Buys early30%
ahead of 50%
Late buys56%
less late than 48%
Up 1h later37%
ahead of 19%
Up 24h later44%
ahead of 37%

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Receipts

Receipts score
31.5
Early
30%
Late
56%
PnL, 30 days
-$450.4K
Price after they sell
-17.2%
Hit at 24h
44%
Record
Established · 97 fills across 19 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$2M
Coins traded
20
Fills
100
Followers
9712
Last fill
5d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
2%
13%
40%
36%
3%
4%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
6.0#512 of 1,689 callers
Up 1h later
60%median +2.2%
Up 24h later
58%median +0.4%
Up 7d later
36%median -27.3%
Best call
$BORDR at $1.7M+255.6% in 7d
Trader record
Established
Call record
12 calls on 3 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$HOTBOT16d ago
Called at $3.7M mcapNow $656.7K -82.3%1h -3.4%24h -2.6%7d -59.8%
x.com/elijahintek/status/… bot is still hot

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$HOTBOTBuy5d-15.7%-21.8%in 39h
$HOTBOTBuy5d+0.9%-19.4%in 38h
$HOTBOTBuy6d-5.7%-25.0%in 37h
$HOTBOTBuy6d+3.4%-6.7%in 13h
$HOTBOTBuy7d+4.2%-6.7%in 13h
$HOTBOTBuy7d+0.2%-1.7%in 12h
$HOTBOTBuy7d
Price after they sell-17.2%
ahead of 69%
PnL, 30 days-$450.4K
ahead of 3%
1%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

44% of 97 fills went their way within the hour; 5 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys, 2+ buys
$BORDR8 buys+39.0%
$CORINE3 buys+38.9%
$mint6 buys+16.3%
$POKE2 buys+8.1%
Worst
$OMNI2 buys-83.1%
$PARANOID6 buys-54.5%
$WEFT2 buys-53.9%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
21:00 UTC
Typical buy
$996
Typical hold
25 hours
Active days, last 30
21 · 4.3 fills a day
$HOTBOT
20d ago
Called at $3.8M mcapNow $656.7K -82.5%1h +3.1%24h -3.3%7d -12.3%
hotbot going live soon, this is where the fun begins x.com/usehotbot/status/…
$BORDR24d ago
Called at $8.6M mcap1h -23.8%24h -16.0%7d -61.4%
goodbye discount gainzy, we'll see you buyback 2x higher
$BORDR24d ago
Called at $6.8M mcap1h +22.0%24h +17.4%7d -51.0%
Pump Tek first runner. welcome to BORDR land
Latest 4 of 12 callsSee all 12 calls
+1.1%
-0.7%
in 12h
$HOTBOTBuy7d+1.8%-0.1%in 12h
$HOTBOTBuy7d+2.1%+2.2%in 12h
$HOTBOTBuy7d-4.5%+6.2%-40.0%
$HOTBOTBuy7d-1.4%+12.0%-35.6%
$HOTBOTBuy7d-0.5%+13.0%-34.4%
$HOTBOTBuy7d+0.7%+14.4%-33.6%
$HOTBOTBuy8d+3.5%-1.8%-36.5%
$HOTBOTBuy8d+3.8%+0.3%-35.9%
$PARANOIDBuy8d-32.8%-54.6%-94.3%
$PARANOIDBuy8d-32.4%-54.4%-94.3%
$PARANOIDBuy8d-33.2%-54.9%-94.4%
$PARANOIDBuy8d-35.0%-56.1%-94.5%
$PARANOIDBuy8d-34.6%-55.9%-94.5%