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Traders / @whilesurpriselast

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@whilesurpriselast

whilesurpriselast
Established recordSells before the drop#99 on fomo (24h)#512 caller (90d)
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The read

from their graded fills, in plain words

@whilesurpriselast is at their best on the way out, selling before the drop.

Sells before the drop
  • Buys before the moveBought before the price ran on 40% of buys, more often than 72% of graded traders. The typical trader: 30%.
  • Buys the top less than mostBought at the top on 41% of buys, less often than 75% of graded traders.
  • Goes their wayAn hour after a fill the price had gone their way 50% of the time; a day later, 44%. The typical trader: 47% and 47%.
  • Sells before the dropAfter they sell, the price falls 20% on average: they tend to get out before it turns. Sharper exits than 74% of graded traders.
  • Down over 30 daysLost $4.9K on fomo in the last 30 days, ahead of 50% of graded traders. The typical graded trader: -$5K.
  • How long they holdHalf their positions are closed within 39 minutes. The typical trader holds 87 minutes.
  • Coin by coinTheir buys were up on 1 of 8 coins they bought more than once. Best: $PAID, +9.7% a day after their buys. Worst: $MINER, -90.8%.
  • Established record62 graded fills across 18 coins. Enough history to be a pattern, not a streak.

Where they rank

among 2,300 graded traders
Buys early40%
ahead of 72%
Late buys41%
less late than 75%
Up 1h later50%
ahead of 64%
Up 24h later44%
ahead of 38%

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Receipts

Receipts score
42.7
Early
40%
Late
41%
PnL, 30 days
-$4.9K
Price after they sell
-19.8%
Hit at 24h
44%
Record
Established · 62 fills across 18 coins

On fomo

Volume, all time
$287.3K
Coins traded
29
Fills
95
Followers
130
Last fill
2d ago

Running result

last 60 fills, 1h after each

How their fills landed

1h after each, 90 days
19%
13%
15%
29%
15%
8%

Callouts

last 90 days
Call score
5.6#512 of 1,633 callers
Up 1h later
54%median +0.3%
Up 24h later
57%median +3.2%
Up 7d later
43%median -9.1%
Best call
$PAID at $2.4M+26.8% in 7d
Trader record
Established
Call record
16 calls on 2 coins

Latest calls

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
$BAGSPAY21h ago
Called at $1.8M mcapNow $1.7M -8.6%1h -1.1%24h in 3h7d in 6d
x.com/whilesurprise/status/… the payments work and they're straight up giving away free money for you to deliver them. once people realize this is going to go *crazy*

Latest receipts

results at 1h, 24h and 7d
CoinSideWhen1h24h7d
$BAGSPAYBuy2d-4.5%+136.9%in 6d
$PAIDSell2d-1.3%-15.5%in 6d
$PAIDBuy14d+8.0%+13.3%+2.7%
$PAIDBuy33d+1.0%+6.1%+14.3%
$?Sell54d——+55.1%
$PURPSSell54d+4.2%+55.7%+33.3%
$?Buy55d
Price after they sell-19.8%
ahead of 74%
PnL, 30 days-$4.9K
ahead of 50%
2%
<-50-50-200+20+50>100

53% of 62 fills went their way within the hour; 6 were up over 50%.

Best and worst coins

avg a day after their buys, 2+ buys
$PAID2 buys+9.7%
$DKNG2 buys-20.9%
$PURPS7 buys-22.6%
$DIVI3 buys-25.0%
Worst
$MINER3 buys-90.8%
$Brian10 buys-90.5%
$TULIP3 buys-86.6%

When they trade

fills per hour, UTC
001223
Busiest hour
19:00 UTC
Typical buy
$163
Typical hold
39 minutes
Active days, last 30
2 · 1.5 fills a day
$BAGSPAY
22h ago
Called at $1.6M mcapNow $1.7M +2.2%1h +9.2%24h in 1h7d in 6d
x.com/peerxyz/status/… payment partner peer just posted, finn coming up next i reckon going for a walk, someone keep an eye on my pile of money pls
$PAID8d ago
Called at $3M mcapNow $1.9M -35.4%1h +0.9%24h +3.6%7d -27.9%
x.com/whilesurprise/status/… and we have the first test client of x money for business
$PAID9d ago
Called at $3.1M mcapNow $1.9M -37.1%1h -3.0%24h -7.0%7d -35.3%
x.com/whilesurprise/status/… sorry missed the hack panic i was rly busy documenting features from the updated x money api
Latest 4 of 16 callsSee all 16 calls
—
-51.6%
-73.5%
$PURPSBuy55d-23.9%-47.9%-73.3%
$?Sell55d—-5.2%+42.3%
$PURPSSell55d+13.6%+25.0%+67.8%
$PURPSSell55d+15.1%+26.3%+68.3%
$?Buy55d—-34.3%-64.0%
$PURPSSell55d+8.3%+23.5%+70.8%
$PURPSBuy56d-9.2%-27.1%-71.3%
$PURPSBuy56d+4.4%-16.2%-67.0%
$PURPSSell56d+5.8%+2.3%+54.4%
$PURPSBuy56d+34.3%+39.7%-45.5%
$FLWSSell56d-27.5%+45.4%+70.0%
$TULIPSell56d-13.6%+72.7%—
$TULIPBuy56d-37.1%-89.7%—